Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 2-4
Atlético Huila vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Huila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
HUI
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
HUI
2 - 1
QUI
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
HUI
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
HUI
0 - 0
TFC
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
HUI
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
HUI
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 3
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |