Apertura Peru Round 16

Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC analysis

Atlético Grau Cusco FC
79 ELO 79
2.1% Tilt -6.7%
763º General ELO ranking 730º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.7%
Atlético Grau
25.7%
Draw
29.7%
Cusco FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Atlético Grau
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.7%
Win probability
Cusco FC
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Grau
-14%
+21%
Cusco FC

Points and table prediction

Atlético Grau
Their league position
Cusco FC
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
16º
12º
34
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitario Deportes
39
39
100%
Alianza Lima
37
37
100%
Cusco FC
34
34
0%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
34
34
0%
Sporting Cristal
32
32
100%
FBC Melgar
31
31
100%
Sport Huancayo
30
30
100%
Deportivo Garcilaso
27
27
100%
ADT de Tarma
24
24
100%
Cienciano
10º
23
23
10º
100%
Los Chankas
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Atlético Grau
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Sport Boys Association
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Juan Pablo II College
14º
19
19
14º
100%
UTC Cajamarca
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Deportivo Binacional
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Ayacucho FC
17º
15
15
17º
100%
Comerciantes Unidos
18º
11
11
18º
0%
Alianza Universidad
19º
11
11
19º
0%
Expected probabilities
Atlético Grau
Cusco FC
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Atlético Grau
Cusco FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Grau
Atlético Grau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2025
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
0 - 2
Atlético Grau
AGP
30%
27%
42%
78 69 9 0
30 May. 2025
GOD
Godoy Cruz
2 - 2
Atlético Grau
AGP
55%
25%
21%
78 84 6 0
24 May. 2025
AGP
Atlético Grau
3 - 0
Deportivo Binacional
BIN
68%
20%
12%
78 65 13 0
19 May. 2025
MEL
FBC Melgar
1 - 1
Atlético Grau
AGP
46%
27%
27%
78 79 1 0
15 May. 2025
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 1
Atlético Grau
AGP
35%
27%
38%
78 73 5 0

Matches

Cusco FC
Cusco FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2025
GAR
Cusco FC
0 - 0
Cienciano
CIE
47%
25%
28%
79 79 0 0
24 May. 2025
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
1 - 2
Cusco FC
GAR
26%
26%
48%
79 68 11 0
18 May. 2025
GAR
Cusco FC
3 - 3
Los Chankas
SRP
57%
23%
20%
79 73 6 0
12 May. 2025
CDG
Deportivo Garcilaso
1 - 3
Cusco FC
GAR
34%
26%
40%
79 74 5 0
04 May. 2025
GAR
Cusco FC
2 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
51%
26%
22%
78 79 1 +1