Atlético Estado de México vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Estado de México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NEX
0 - 0
AEM
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AEM
2 - 2
SOL
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
AEM
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAZ
2 - 0
AEM
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AEM
2 - 2
IRA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 3
IRA
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
3 - 2
ZAM
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CAC
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ZAC
1 - 0
ZAM
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |