Atlético Espeleño vs Baena At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PAL
4 - 1
ESP
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 2
REC
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
SUR
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CIU
3 - 3
ESP
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Baena At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 0
HIN
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 3
BAE
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 1
BAE
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BAE
6 - 1
FRA
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
BAE
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |