Atlético dos Castros vs C.D. Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
5 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 7
CIU
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SCD
1 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIC
1 - 5
CAS
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
CDC
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
SAR
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 1
SAR
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 3
MAR
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAR
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |