Atlético dos Castros vs Universidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COC
2 - 2
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
LIC
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ORZ
1 - 1
CAS
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 5
GAL
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
SCD
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
UNI
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
CDC
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
UNI
48%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
8 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
SIQ
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |