Atlético CP vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
10º
1º
26
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
USA
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
1DE
2 - 1
ATL
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 2
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
RIO
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
USA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SCP
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPC
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 0
LUS
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |