Atlético CP vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
7º
26
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 0
OLI
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATL
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 3
ATL
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 0
LUS
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 2
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
1DE
0 - 0
SCP
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
4 - 1
CAL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |