Atlético CP vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ACV
0 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 3
TRO
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VSC
4 - 0
ATL
60%
21%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
TON
30%
29%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
ORI
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 0
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
OLI
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ACV
2 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
LEX
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |