3ª Regional Madrid Round 17

Atlético Cercedilla vs Cerceda CF B analysis

Atlético Cercedilla Cerceda CF B
16 ELO 16
31.9% Tilt 12%
14318º General ELO ranking 15127º
2995º Country ELO ranking 3574º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Atlético Cercedilla
16.8%
Draw
18.9%
Cerceda CF B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
Atlético Cercedilla
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
18.9%
Win probability
Cerceda CF B
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Cercedilla
+108%
-26%
Cerceda CF B

ELO progression

Atlético Cercedilla
Cerceda CF B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Cercedilla
Atlético Cercedilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
ACM
AD Collado Mediano
2 - 1
Atlético Cercedilla
ATC
46%
21%
33%
17 17 0 0
02 Feb. 2025
ATC
Atlético Cercedilla
4 - 3
Torrelodones
TRS
50%
20%
30%
16 17 1 +1
26 Jan. 2025
ALB
Alberto Cogorro
3 - 2
Atlético Cercedilla
ATC
38%
21%
41%
16 16 0 0
19 Jan. 2025
ATC
Atlético Cercedilla
4 - 2
CDE Atlético Alpedrete
ALP
78%
12%
10%
16 12 4 0
12 Jan. 2025
BTC
Pegaso Tres Cantos B
1 - 1
Atlético Cercedilla
ATC
17%
18%
65%
16 10 6 0

Matches

Cerceda CF B
Cerceda CF B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
CER
Cerceda CF B
2 - 0
Alberto Cogorro
ALB
33%
20%
47%
13 16 3 0
02 Feb. 2025
CER
Cerceda CF B
1 - 4
CDE Atlético Alpedrete
ALP
60%
18%
22%
14 13 1 -1
26 Jan. 2025
BTC
Pegaso Tres Cantos B
2 - 5
Cerceda CF B
CER
24%
20%
56%
13 10 3 +1
19 Jan. 2025
CER
Cerceda CF B
1 - 2
UD Tres Cantos B
UDT
83%
11%
7%
14 7 7 -1
12 Jan. 2025
HMA
Hoyo de Manzanares B
2 - 2
Cerceda CF B
CER
50%
21%
30%
14 15 1 0