Atlético Cataluña vs UD Mahón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cataluña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
STB
1 - 0
ACC
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
ACC
3 - 0
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
GIM
3 - 3
ACC
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ACC
2 - 0
CFL
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
FIG
2 - 0
ACC
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
LEV
2 - 0
UDM
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
UDM
1 - 1
TCF
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
CAS
7 - 0
UDM
81%
13%
7%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
UDM
3 - 0
MNC
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
CON
5 - 2
UDM
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |