Tercera RFEF VIII - Castilla y León. Jor. 15

Atl. Bembibre vs La Virgen del Camino analysis

Atl. Bembibre La Virgen del Camino
25 ELO 29
-16.9% Tilt -19.8%
9664º General ELO ranking 8533º
425º Country ELO ranking 341º
ELO win probability
37.1%
Atl. Bembibre
24.8%
Draw
38.1%
La Virgen del Camino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
Atl. Bembibre
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.1%
Win probability
La Virgen del Camino
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Bembibre
+16%
-21%
La Virgen del Camino

Points and table prediction

Atl. Bembibre
Their league position
La Virgen del Camino
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
14º
10º
41
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Ávila
76
76
100%
Salamanca UDS
73
73
100%
Atlético Tordesillas
65
65
100%
Júpiter Leonés
63
63
100%
Atl. Astorga
56
56
100%
Palencia Cristo Atlético
55
55
100%
Palencia CF
53
53
100%
Becerril
51
51
100%
UD Santa Marta
43
43
100%
Atl. Bembibre
12º
41
41
10º
0%
La Virgen del Camino
10º
41
41
11º
0%
SD Almazán
11º
41
41
12º
100%
Burgos CF B
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Mirandés B
14º
35
35
14º
100%
CD Villaralbo
15º
33
33
15º
100%
CD Laguna
16º
29
29
16º
100%
DiocesÁvila - UCAV
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Ponferradina B
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Atl. Bembibre
La Virgen del Camino
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Atl. Bembibre
La Virgen del Camino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Bembibre
Atl. Bembibre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
STM
UD Santa Marta
3 - 2
Atl. Bembibre
CAB
55%
23%
22%
26 29 3 0
02 Dec. 2023
CAB
Atl. Bembibre
0 - 0
Ponferradina B
PON
57%
22%
21%
26 21 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
COL
DiocesÁvila - UCAV
0 - 0
Atl. Bembibre
CAB
34%
25%
42%
26 19 7 0
19 Nov. 2023
CAB
Atl. Bembibre
0 - 0
Atl. Astorga
AST
36%
25%
39%
26 31 5 0
12 Nov. 2023
TOR
Atlético Tordesillas
3 - 3
Atl. Bembibre
CAB
60%
23%
17%
25 34 9 +1

Matches

La Virgen del Camino
La Virgen del Camino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
LVC
La Virgen del Camino
2 - 2
CD Laguna
CDL
66%
20%
14%
28 18 10 0
03 Dec. 2023
BEC
Becerril
2 - 1
La Virgen del Camino
LVC
34%
25%
41%
29 25 4 -1
25 Nov. 2023
LVC
La Virgen del Camino
1 - 1
Mirandés B
MIR
43%
26%
31%
29 28 1 0
18 Nov. 2023
CAT
Palencia Cristo Atlético
3 - 1
La Virgen del Camino
LVC
63%
21%
17%
30 38 8 -1
11 Nov. 2023
STM
UD Santa Marta
4 - 4
La Virgen del Camino
LVC
40%
25%
35%
30 27 3 0
X