Atl. Astorga vs La Virgen del Camino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BEC
1 - 1
AST
22%
25%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AST
4 - 1
PEN
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
AST
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 0
AST
21%
22%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
AST
19%
24%
58%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
La Virgen del Camino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 1
LVC
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LVC
0 - 0
BEC
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
LVC
30%
25%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
LVC
2 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LVC
1 - 1
CFS
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |