Atl. Astorga vs Peñaranda Bracamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VAL
1 - 0
AST
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
AST
4 - 2
CFP
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BÉJ
2 - 0
AST
91%
7%
3%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
AST
1 - 1
CPC
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
AST
0 - 0
SAL
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaranda Bracamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PEN
5 - 0
PLA
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
PEN
1 - 3
VAL
48%
25%
28%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
CFP
0 - 0
PEN
86%
9%
4%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PEN
1 - 0
JBU
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
PEN
1 - 4
BÉJ
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |