Atl. Astorga vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 1
AST
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AST
1 - 2
ACF
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
AST
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
AST
76%
18%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
AST
2 - 3
COX
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
RAC
10%
22%
67%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COX
2 - 1
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 2
PEÑ
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
RCF
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
PEÑ
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |