Atl. Astorga vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
AST
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
AST
0 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RCF
4 - 2
AST
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
TRO
2 - 2
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AST
1 - 0
UDL
40%
26%
33%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 2
MUR
10%
24%
66%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UPL
0 - 1
LEA
52%
26%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 1
COX
32%
27%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
LEA
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |