Tercera Playoffs . Final
Global 2-2
Atl. Astorga vs CD Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CDV
1 - 0
AST
29%
27%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
AST
4 - 1
TRO
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 1
AST
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
ALG
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
AST
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CDV
1 - 0
AST
29%
27%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
CDV
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CDV
3 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CDV
0 - 0
AZU
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AZU
0 - 0
CDV
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |