Atl. Astorga vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
7 - 0
AST
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AST
1 - 2
AVI
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SDA
1 - 2
AST
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
AST
0 - 1
CDH
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 0
AST
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 1
ACF
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 1
BUR
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BUR
5 - 0
VDB
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
BUR
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BUR
4 - 1
NUM
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |