Athletic Fregenal vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
CDB
14%
17%
68%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BIE
4 - 0
ATH
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
ATH
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 2
ACE
25%
23%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
ATH
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
UDF
64%
19%
18%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
9 - 1
OLV
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 2
CDB
16%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
UDF
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |