Bilbao Ath. vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ATH
0 - 0
CAU
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
PEG
2 - 2
ATH
52%
26%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ATH
5 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
ATH
0 - 1
MIR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 1
ATH
49%
28%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 0
RMC
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
RMC
5 - 2
SSC
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
CFP
1 - 1
RMC
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
RMC
4 - 1
HUE
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
RCF
4 - 1
RMC
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |