Bilbao Ath. vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
ARO
2 - 0
ATH
30%
32%
38%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
ATH
2 - 2
CDO
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
CUL
0 - 0
ATH
60%
24%
16%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
ATH
2 - 2
BAS
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
GER
2 - 3
ATH
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 0
PON
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
LEM
0 - 1
SPB
35%
32%
33%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
SPB
3 - 0
LAR
63%
24%
13%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
SNT
1 - 0
SPB
34%
31%
35%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
LUG
3 - 1
SPB
41%
31%
28%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |