Bilbao Ath. vs Noja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 1
ALA
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 2
ATH
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 1
SES
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 0
ATH
43%
29%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 1
SDA
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
NOJ
1 - 1
RAC
9%
18%
74%
|
40 | 81 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
NOJ
2 - 0
CAT
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 2
NOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NOJ
6 - 0
SMA
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BEZ
1 - 1
NOJ
15%
22%
64%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |