Segunda B Play-Offs Semi-finals

Bilbao Ath. vs Celta Fortuna analysis

Bilbao Ath. Celta Fortuna
58 ELO 54
15.2% Tilt 4.3%
1781º General ELO ranking 1350º
60º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
56.2%
Bilbao Ath.
21.6%
Draw
22.3%
Celta Fortuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
Bilbao Ath.
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.3%
Win probability
Celta Fortuna
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bilbao Ath.
+8%
-4%
Celta Fortuna

ELO progression

Bilbao Ath.
Celta Fortuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bilbao Ath.
Bilbao Ath.
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
SDL
SD Logroñés
1 - 0
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
14%
20%
66%
58 44 14 0
01 May. 2021
ATH
Bilbao Ath.
3 - 1
Tudelano
TUD
75%
16%
9%
58 48 10 0
25 Apr. 2021
CLH
CD Calahorra
2 - 1
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
22%
22%
56%
58 50 8 0
17 Apr. 2021
ATH
Bilbao Ath.
2 - 0
SD Logroñés
SDL
78%
15%
8%
58 45 13 0
11 Apr. 2021
TUD
Tudelano
1 - 4
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
22%
23%
55%
58 50 8 0

Matches

Celta Fortuna
Celta Fortuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
BUR
Burgos
1 - 0
Celta Fortuna
CEL
39%
26%
35%
55 56 1 0
02 May. 2021
CEL
Celta Fortuna
2 - 1
Cultural Leonesa
CUL
26%
22%
52%
54 60 6 +1
25 Apr. 2021
VAL
Real Valladolid Promesas
0 - 5
Celta Fortuna
CEL
44%
25%
31%
53 54 1 +1
18 Apr. 2021
CEL
Celta Fortuna
1 - 1
Burgos
BUR
43%
26%
31%
53 57 4 0
11 Apr. 2021
CUL
Cultural Leonesa
0 - 3
Celta Fortuna
CEL
69%
18%
12%
51 63 12 +2