Atherton Collieries vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atherton Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 4
WAR
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 2
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ATH
0 - 0
WOR
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALI
4%
11%
85%
|
40 | 77 | 37 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 2
ALT
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 1
RUN
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
RUN
1 - 1
PON
36%
22%
43%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UNM
2 - 0
RUN
49%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 2
RUN
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
RUN
0 - 2
WID
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |