Coppa Italia Primavera Semi-finals
Atalanta U19 vs Torino U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 4
ATA
20%
21%
60%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
ATA
2 - 4
GEN
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ATA
4 - 0
ROM
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
ATA
1 - 0
EMP
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
ATA
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Torino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
TOR
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 0
PAL
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 2
VER
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 3
CAG
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAS
0 - 3
TOR
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |