At. Sanluqueño vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CRD
1 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIN
27%
27%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
REC
2 - 4
SAN
64%
23%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAL
22%
24%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
JUM
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
RJA
30%
28%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAR
24%
29%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAN
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
GRA
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |