Primera División RFEF Group 2 Round 15

Atlético Madrileño vs Marbella FC analysis

Atlético Madrileño Marbella FC
65 ELO 58
2.1% Tilt -4.8%
1865º General ELO ranking 2647º
64º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Atlético Madrileño
24%
Draw
19.2%
Marbella FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
Atlético Madrileño
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.2%
Win probability
Marbella FC
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Madrileño
+1%
+10%
Marbella FC

Points and table prediction

Atlético Madrileño
Their league position
Marbella FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
19º
46
19º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AD Ceuta FC
67
67
100%
Real Murcia
64
64
100%
UD Ibiza
63
63
100%
Antequera CF
58
58
0%
AD Mérida
58
58
0%
RM Castilla
54
54
0%
Atlético Madrileño
54
54
0%
Sevilla At.
53
53
100%
Algeciras CF
52
52
100%
Alcorcón
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Villarreal B
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Hércules
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Marbella FC
15º
46
46
13º
100%
At. Sanluqueño
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Betis Deportivo
13º
46
46
15º
0%
Yeclano Deportivo
17º
43
43
16º
0%
Fuenlabrada
16º
43
43
17º
0%
Alcoyano
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Recreativo
19º
37
37
19º
100%
CF Intercity
20º
35
35
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Atlético Madrileño
Marbella FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Atlético Madrileño
Marbella FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Madrileño
Atlético Madrileño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
VIL
Villarreal B
3 - 2
Atlético Madrileño
ATB
58%
23%
19%
64 69 5 0
17 Nov. 2024
ATB
Atlético Madrileño
1 - 0
AD Mérida
MAD
52%
26%
23%
64 62 2 0
09 Nov. 2024
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 1
Atlético Madrileño
ATB
39%
29%
32%
63 64 1 +1
02 Nov. 2024
ATB
Atlético Madrileño
1 - 1
RM Castilla
RMC
44%
26%
30%
63 63 0 0
26 Oct. 2024
HER
Hércules
1 - 2
Atlético Madrileño
ATB
40%
27%
33%
63 62 1 0

Matches

Marbella FC
Marbella FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marbella FC
0 - 3
Yeclano Deportivo
YEC
39%
28%
33%
59 61 2 0
20 Nov. 2024
HER
Hércules
2 - 1
Marbella FC
MAR
43%
27%
30%
60 59 1 -1
16 Nov. 2024
IBI
UD Ibiza
2 - 0
Marbella FC
MAR
56%
24%
20%
60 64 4 0
10 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marbella FC
0 - 0
At. Sanluqueño
SAN
52%
26%
22%
60 57 3 0
30 Oct. 2024
BER
Bergantiños FC
1 - 2
Marbella FC
MAR
22%
24%
55%
59 51 8 +1