Atlético Madrileño vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Madrileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATB
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
CDT
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
LEG
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SSR
0 - 0
ATB
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATB
2 - 2
RVB
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
LUG
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 0
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 2
CDT
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |