ASWH vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RVV
2 - 2
ASW
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ASW
1 - 2
HOE
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 0
ASW
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ASW
4 - 0
FCS
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 1
ASW
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ZWA
0 - 1
DEL
72%
17%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ZWA
3 - 1
ORA
80%
13%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SMI
0 - 2
ZWA
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ZWA
1 - 0
XER
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
KLO
2 - 3
ZWA
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |