ASWH vs TOGR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
RJC
5 - 0
ASW
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HEE
1 - 0
ASW
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ASW
3 - 0
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 3
ASW
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
RIJ
0 - 0
ASW
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
TOGR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
TGR
1 - 4
CAP
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
KOZ
2 - 0
TGR
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TGR
0 - 2
NOO
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SHO
0 - 0
TGR
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
TGR
0 - 1
LIS
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |