Schrems vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
ARD
3 - 0
ASV
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 1
GAF
24%
21%
56%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
WAI
1 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 0
ZWE
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 4
SVR
40%
23%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
SCO
2 - 2
KOT
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPR
3 - 2
SCO
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 1
MAN
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
ARD
2 - 0
SCO
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |