Oberliga Bayern North Round 14

ASV Cham vs TSV Abtswind analysis

ASV Cham TSV Abtswind
41 ELO 44
-4.3% Tilt -2.1%
3875º General ELO ranking 5419º
164º Country ELO ranking 266º
ELO win probability
32.6%
ASV Cham
25.1%
Draw
42.3%
TSV Abtswind

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
ASV Cham
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.3%
Win probability
TSV Abtswind
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ASV Cham
+36%
-48%
TSV Abtswind

Points and table prediction

ASV Cham
Their league position
TSV Abtswind
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
13º
40
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfB Eichstätt
74
74
100%
Eltersdorf
73
73
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
66
66
100%
ATSV Erlangen
62
62
100%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
53
53
100%
Weiden
50
50
100%
TSV Kornburg
47
47
100%
Neudrossenfeld
46
46
0%
Würzburger FV
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Bayern Hof
11º
43
43
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
TSV Abtswind
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Ammerthal
15º
35
35
15º
100%
DJK Gebenbach
16º
35
35
16º
100%
FC Eintracht Münchberg
17º
20
20
17º
100%
TSV Karlburg
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
ASV Cham
TSV Abtswind
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ASV Cham
TSV Abtswind
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASV Cham
ASV Cham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
TSK
TSV Karlburg
2 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
14%
19%
68%
42 25 17 0
20 Sep. 2024
BAY
Bayern Hof
1 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
42%
25%
33%
42 42 0 0
06 Sep. 2024
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
53%
24%
24%
42 46 4 0
31 Aug. 2024
ASV
ASV Cham
4 - 1
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
43%
24%
33%
40 39 1 +2
24 Aug. 2024
WUR
Würzburger FV
2 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
29%
22%
49%
41 33 8 -1

Matches

TSV Abtswind
TSV Abtswind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
TSV
TSV Abtswind
3 - 1
Bayern Hof
BAY
54%
23%
24%
45 41 4 0
20 Sep. 2024
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
2 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
29%
25%
46%
45 39 6 0
13 Sep. 2024
TSV
TSV Abtswind
0 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
45%
24%
30%
46 46 0 -1
07 Sep. 2024
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
3 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
31%
25%
45%
47 38 9 -1
30 Aug. 2024
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 3
Würzburger FV
WUR
72%
17%
11%
47 35 12 0