Oberliga Bayern North Round 21

ASV Cham vs DJK Gebenbach analysis

ASV Cham DJK Gebenbach
40 ELO 35
-6% Tilt -1.5%
3864º General ELO ranking 5685º
167º Country ELO ranking 283º
ELO win probability
61.7%
ASV Cham
19.7%
Draw
18.6%
DJK Gebenbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
ASV Cham
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.6%
Win probability
DJK Gebenbach
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

ASV Cham
Their league position
DJK Gebenbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
10º
52
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
ASV Cham
DJK Gebenbach
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ASV Cham
DJK Gebenbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASV Cham
ASV Cham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
0 - 0
ASV Cham
ASV
58%
22%
20%
40 45 5 0
28 Oct. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
0 - 0
ASV Cham
ASV
41%
24%
35%
41 39 2 -1
21 Oct. 2023
ASV
ASV Cham
2 - 1
TSV Kornburg
KOR
66%
19%
16%
41 33 8 0
13 Oct. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
3 - 3
ASV Cham
ASV
23%
21%
56%
41 31 10 0
07 Oct. 2023
SVD
SV Donaustauf
2 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
20%
21%
59%
42 31 11 -1

Matches

DJK Gebenbach
DJK Gebenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
2 - 1
SV Donaustauf
SVD
56%
20%
25%
32 31 1 0
28 Oct. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
6 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
49%
21%
30%
31 32 1 +1
21 Oct. 2023
TSV
TSV Abtswind
3 - 2
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
57%
21%
23%
33 37 4 -2
14 Oct. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
1 - 3
FC Coburg
FCC
73%
15%
12%
33 25 8 0
03 Oct. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
0 - 1
Bayern Hof
BAY
51%
21%
28%
34 35 1 -1