ASV 13 vs Red Star Penzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
15º
16º
16º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV 13
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 1
AUS
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
STA
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 3
DON
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 2
ASV
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 4
WIE
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
RED
2 - 0
STA
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WIE
2 - 1
RED
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
RED
5 - 1
SKS
43%
21%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
RED
0 - 2
MAN
52%
20%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WAF
0 - 1
RED
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |