Astur vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 2
AST
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AST
1 - 2
LLA
23%
25%
51%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
LUA
2 - 0
AST
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AST
0 - 1
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 1
AST
50%
25%
26%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UPL
2 - 1
COV
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RIB
2 - 1
UPL
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
UPL
1 - 1
CAU
53%
26%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
UPL
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |