Astur vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
RIB
3 - 0
AST
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AST
2 - 2
UNI
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
OVI
7 - 0
AST
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
AST
3 - 4
CUD
40%
25%
36%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
TAP
3 - 1
AST
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SPB
0 - 0
NAV
73%
17%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
UPL
0 - 1
SPB
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 4
LEA
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 3
SPB
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SPB
1 - 2
AVI
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |