Astur vs Madalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 3
AST
31%
26%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AST
1 - 0
AST
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
URR
1 - 0
AST
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AST
3 - 0
TIN
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAV
1 - 2
AST
36%
27%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 0
RAY
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AND
1 - 1
MAD
26%
25%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
TUR
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAD
10%
18%
72%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MAD
4 - 1
NAL
62%
20%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |