Astur vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
TUR
1 - 0
AST
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
AST
2 - 1
RTI
15%
26%
60%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SIE
2 - 0
AST
77%
17%
7%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
AST
1 - 1
PCF
25%
27%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
MOS
0 - 1
AST
78%
16%
6%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
LEA
4 - 0
COL
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
NAV
1 - 0
LEA
16%
23%
62%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LEA
2 - 0
HIS
89%
9%
2%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
UNI
3 - 2
LEA
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
TUR
1 - 1
LEA
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |