Astur vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
AST
76%
16%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
AST
3 - 2
URR
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
AST
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AST
2 - 2
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UPL
3 - 1
AST
76%
17%
7%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COV
0 - 2
CEA
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
COV
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COV
0 - 2
CAU
24%
26%
50%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
URR
1 - 0
COV
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
SIE
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |