Astur vs Colloto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+278%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SLA
2 - 2
AST
18%
25%
58%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
AST
0 - 1
SIE
26%
28%
46%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
TUR
2 - 0
AST
30%
29%
42%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
AST
1 - 1
SMA
54%
24%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LLA
1 - 1
AST
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
COL
0 - 1
AVI
31%
28%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
DPT
1 - 1
COL
25%
26%
50%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
PCF
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VAL
0 - 3
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
COL
1 - 1
RIB
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |