Astur vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 2
AST
28%
25%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AST
2 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AST
0 - 0
TUI
22%
25%
53%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
AST
27%
25%
49%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AST
4 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
CAU
2 - 1
LEN
82%
14%
5%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
URR
1 - 2
CAU
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUI
0 - 0
CAU
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 0
CON
63%
22%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |