Astur Vegadense vs Marino de Cudillero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur Vegadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RPR
2 - 4
AST
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 3
AST
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CRN
2 - 2
AST
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marino de Cudillero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MCU
1 - 3
RPR
23%
22%
56%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 4
MCU
38%
23%
39%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MCU
0 - 2
AVI
22%
20%
59%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
MCU
18%
21%
61%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MCU
3 - 2
CRN
56%
21%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |