Astrea vs Palestrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
APR
2 - 0
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
FON
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
AST
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
AST
0 - 0
SOR
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AST
7 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Palestrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 2
OST
37%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 8
PAL
14%
21%
66%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
AST
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 1
PAL
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
CYN
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |