Astrea vs Città di Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
REC
2 - 1
AST
26%
26%
47%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FID
3 - 3
AST
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AST
2 - 0
CIV
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TER
3 - 0
AST
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
AST
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 4
MAC
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 2
OLY
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
RCA
5 - 0
CIT
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 2
SAN
20%
22%
59%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CIT
3 - 1
AMI
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |