Astra II vs Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
PSB
4 - 0
AST
85%
11%
5%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CST
2 - 2
AST
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
AST
2 - 2
SRO
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CET
1 - 3
AST
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
AST
3 - 3
UBR
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
3 - 0
CST
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SRO
0 - 3
ALE
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 1
CET
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
UBR
2 - 1
ALE
26%
21%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
3 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |