Astorps FF vs Bergdalens IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
72.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+575%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
10º
9º
9
11º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 51 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 49 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 47 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 43 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 40 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 20 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 19 |
13º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astorps FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ESK
2 - 3
AST
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
AST
0 - 2
ESK
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
AST
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bergdalens IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIK
4 - 2
LIN
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAH
2 - 3
BIK
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIK
1 - 2
SAV
37%
22%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BIK
0 - 2
HFF
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LIS
5 - 3
BIK
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |