Astorps FF vs Bergdalens IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+905%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
10º
7º
9
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 52 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 52 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 50 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 45 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 42 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 36 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 34 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 28 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 25 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astorps FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ESK
2 - 3
AST
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAV
1 - 4
AST
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AST
3 - 1
SAV
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | +5 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
AST
0 - 2
ESK
11%
17%
73%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
AST
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bergdalens IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIK
4 - 2
LIN
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAH
2 - 3
BIK
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIK
1 - 2
SAV
36%
22%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BIK
0 - 2
HFF
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LIS
5 - 3
BIK
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |