Aston Villa Sub 23 vs Stoke City Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 3
REA
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
FUL
2 - 0
ASV
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 1
WBA
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 1
ASV
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
ASV
4 - 0
SUN
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
STO
2 - 3
MUN
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
WHU
2 - 2
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
STO
3 - 0
REA
55%
21%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
FUL
0 - 2
STO
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
STO
0 - 1
SWA
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |