Premier League 2 Division Two round 18

Aston Villa U23 vs Reading U23 analysis

Aston Villa U23 Reading U23
44 ELO 44
7.2% Tilt -0.9%
38264º General ELO ranking 38270º
1166º Country ELO ranking 1172º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Aston Villa U23
21%
Draw
22.3%
Reading U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
Aston Villa U23
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
Reading U23
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aston Villa U23
-22%
-29%
Reading U23

ELO progression

Aston Villa U23
Reading U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aston Villa U23
Aston Villa U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2020
FUL
Fulham U23
2 - 0
Aston Villa U23
ASV
24%
24%
52%
46 36 10 0
03 Feb. 2020
ASV
Aston Villa U23
0 - 1
West Bromwich Albion U23
WBA
50%
23%
27%
47 47 0 -1
10 Jan. 2020
NOR
Norwich City U23
2 - 1
Aston Villa U23
ASV
22%
23%
55%
49 37 12 -2
06 Jan. 2020
ASV
Aston Villa U23
4 - 0
Sunderland U23
SUN
88%
9%
3%
49 25 24 0
16 Dec. 2019
ASV
Aston Villa U23
1 - 1
Swansea U23
SWA
71%
17%
12%
49 40 9 0

Matches

Reading U23
Reading U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2020
REA
Reading U23
0 - 1
Middlesbrough U23
MID
59%
20%
21%
42 40 2 0
03 Feb. 2020
STO
Stoke City U23
3 - 0
Reading U23
REA
55%
21%
24%
44 47 3 -2
13 Jan. 2020
REA
Reading U23
3 - 3
West Ham U23
WHU
24%
24%
52%
44 56 12 0
06 Jan. 2020
WBA
West Bromwich Albion U23
4 - 2
Reading U23
REA
48%
23%
29%
46 46 0 -2
16 Dec. 2019
REA
Reading U23
1 - 4
Man. Utd U23
MUN
41%
23%
36%
47 51 4 -1