Aston Villa U21 vs Southampton U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
5º
42
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
MID
2 - 3
AVI
33%
24%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
6 - 4
SUN
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
AVI
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
1 - 0
STC
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
WBA
0 - 4
AVI
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Southampton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
NOT
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
LUS
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
WBA
1 - 2
SOU
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 2
SUN
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
SOU
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |