Premier League Sub 18 South Round 7

Aston Villa U18 vs Arsenal U18 analysis

Aston Villa U18 Arsenal U18
23 ELO 34
7% Tilt 19.6%
8718º General ELO ranking 6366º
403º Country ELO ranking 232º
ELO win probability
11.4%
Aston Villa U18
16.2%
Draw
72.4%
Arsenal U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
Aston Villa U18
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.4%
Win probability
Arsenal U18
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aston Villa U18
+258%
-2%
Arsenal U18

Points and table prediction

Aston Villa U18
Their league position
Arsenal U18
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
10º
23
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
West Ham U18
57
57
100%
Fulham U18
40
40
100%
Crystal Palace U18
39
39
100%
Chelsea U18
37
37
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U18
36
36
100%
Brighton & Hove U18
29
29
100%
West Bromwich Albion U18
24
24
100%
Southampton U18
24
24
0%
Leicester U18
24
24
0%
Aston Villa U18
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Arsenal U18
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Norwich City U18
12º
16
16
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aston Villa U18
Arsenal U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Aston Villa U18
Arsenal U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aston Villa U18
Aston Villa U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
WBA
West Bromwich Albion U18
3 - 3
Aston Villa U18
AST
59%
19%
22%
20 22 2 0
01 Oct. 2022
AST
Aston Villa U18
2 - 4
Tottenham Hotspur U18
TOT
25%
21%
54%
21 26 5 -1
17 Sep. 2022
WHU
West Ham U18
6 - 3
Aston Villa U18
AST
84%
11%
6%
21 42 21 0
27 Aug. 2022
BHA
Brighton & Hove U18
2 - 5
Aston Villa U18
AST
78%
13%
9%
20 31 11 +1
20 Aug. 2022
AST
Aston Villa U18
0 - 4
Crystal Palace U18
CRY
11%
17%
72%
21 40 19 -1

Matches

Arsenal U18
Arsenal U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
ARS
Arsenal U18
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove U18
BHA
72%
16%
13%
36 28 8 0
01 Oct. 2022
NOR
Norwich City U18
1 - 2
Arsenal U18
ARS
12%
16%
72%
36 19 17 0
17 Sep. 2022
ARS
Arsenal U18
4 - 4
West Bromwich Albion U18
WBA
80%
12%
8%
37 22 15 -1
27 Aug. 2022
ARS
Arsenal U18
4 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur U18
TOT
76%
14%
10%
37 25 12 0
20 Aug. 2022
FUL
Fulham U18
1 - 1
Arsenal U18
ARS
39%
22%
39%
37 35 2 0